1/19/2013

ESPN Predictions...


Our 2013 picks: Read 'em and weep!

Updated: January 18, 2013, 11:44 AM ET
ESPN.com
Which team will lift the Stanley Cup in June? Our experts weigh in, and the picks are again across the board (please note that East and West picks are for the postseason):

AWARDS WATCH

There's the Hart Memorial Trophy race, and then there's the rest of the hardware. Here are our experts' picks for all the major awards, which will be handed out in June.

Highlanders 2013

The Highlanders

L: St Louis-TBay FP, Hall-Edm, Marchand-Bos, Fleischmann-Fla RFA, Perron-StL P2, Kreider-NYR P2

Rating: 4

StLouis may be nearing the end-game, but despite his age he continues to put up FP worthy stats. Hall is definitely not the sharpest crayon in the box (fun fact: he failed an open-book boating exam, 3 times! And then told everybody on Twitter), but his physical tools are top of the line. He's primed for a breakout season, but, but, but, his style of play (which is always hell bent for leather), leads to him getting rocked and hammered with appalling frequency. He might score at a 40 goal pace and then plow head first into the boards at top speed. Needless to say, I love the guy. Marchand is Ken Linesman redux. An undersized nasty rat of a forward with enough skill to play a 2nd line scoring role, while causing enough havok to be worthy of a TG slot. Pat Verbeek would be proud. Fleischmann rebuilt his career into that of a replacement level forward in Florida, but I have to believe he is a place holder for Perron, whose return from concussion issues bodes well as he is a talented enough sniper that he could move easily into the space behind Hall, or take over for Hall when the latter train-wrecks. Kreider is an intriguing blend of size, speed and skill, but his breakout year is likely still a season away. Lots of upside on this wing, with only a few concerns (StLouis' age, Hall's durability, the length of the suspension Marchand will get for spearing the opposing team's mascot in the 'nads, etc.).

C: Crosby-Pit FP, H.Sedin-Vcr, M.Koivu-Min, Zajac-NJ RFA, Mueller-Col P3, Barkov-FIN P1

Rating: 5

Steep and deep. Word is Crosby has looked FANTASTIC in camp and appears completely over the devastating concussions - if so, he's inarguably the best player in the world. Sedin is capable of an MVP season in his own right, and would be the #1 guy on most FUNHL teams. Indeed, looking over other FUNHL rosters Koivu could conceivably be the #1 center for a couple, and would likely be the #2 pivot for a large majority. Zajac is a very capable pivot who could move up in a pinch (like say when Crosby goes down after a game one headshot by Claude Giroux). Mueller's career has stalled out thanks to his own concussion issues, but the strapping centerman flashed all the tools of a legit top 6 forward when he was healthy, it's just been years since that was the case. Barkov is the future, a likely top 5 pick in next years draft he's got prototypical size, speed, hands and hockey sense to a be top end guy. And he's Finnish (albeit by way of Russia) so you know Doug's wife is happy. Arguably the best set of pivots in the league, they also have more risk than most other teams as only Hank Sedin is noted for his durability.

R: Eberle-Edm RFA, Burrows-Vcr, Selanne-Ana, Hudler-Cgy RFA

Rating: 3.5

Eberle instantly slots in as the top starboard gunner based on his offense. A cerebral puck possession monster he is the straw that stirs the Oilers drink (ok, so that metaphor was both trite and gross, I'm tired). Burrows is the right side equivalent of Marchand, only slightly bigger, slightly less filthy, and a tad more talented offensively. Selanne is God. But he is also well into his 40's, and at some point the time is going to run out. Hudler left Flames camp to return home for the death of his father, and who knows how that will affect his first season in Calgary. He's a runty 2nd liner with above average skill, but unless Father Time finally notices Selanne, Hudler will be outside looking in for ice-time.

D: Yandle-Phx, Carlson-Wsh RFA, Gardiner-Tor RFA, Hamonic-NYI RFA, McDonagh-NYR RFA, Nikitin-Clb RFA, Sbisa-ana RFA, McBain-Car RFA, Larrson-NJ P3, Orlov-Wsh P2, Rundblad-Phx P2

Rating: 2

Yandle is an acceptable #1, but I have to admit I'm not sold on him being a top-end producer in Phoenix. Carlson likely slots into the #2 spot, but I have grave concerns that Washington will continue to turn him into a shutdown specialist (next to Karl Alzner), though maybe Adam Oates will take the chains off. Gardiner might be poised for a breakout year on the weak Leaf's blue-line, or he could be dealt to a deep Vancouver squad for Bobby-Lou. Hamonic is a meat and potatoes guy, whose greatest utility might lie in the role of 2nd enforcer - something the team already has. McDonagh blossomed on the Rangers, and still needs to take another step to be among the high end guys. Nikitin was outright stolen by the BlueJackets from the Blues, and is already the teams steadiest and most reliable defender - but he isn't a powerplay guy, and his offensive ceiling is limited. Sbisa should form the nucleus of the Duck's D-corp moving forward (along with Cam Fowler), but so far the Swiss kid hasn't tallied significant offense. McBain (which should ALWAYS be pronounced with a thick Austrian accent), is another up-and-comer on the Hurricane's blue, but he is in tough competition for powerplay and ice-time. Larrson is a future stud who could well rocket past many of the guys ahead of him on the depth chart. Orlov is probably better cast as a #3 or #4 D-man as his game is more all-round than offensive. Rundblad has all the tools to be a top offensive defenseman, but he is still shakey in his own end, and he plays in Phoenix where talent goes to die (and where Ekman-Larrson and Yandle gobble up the PP time).

G:  Rinne-Nsh, Lindback-TBay RFA, Schneider-Vcr P2

Rating: 4.5

Rinne has been a top five guy for several years running, and outside of the departure of Suter to Minnesota there isn't any reason to think he won't be again. Lindback is his former backup now taking over in TBay - and he could well earn the starter role and never look back. Schneider appears to be the annointed one in Vancouver, but there is that small matter of Bobby-Lou's continued presence to deal with before he is an unquestioned starter.

Overall: 19

1/17/2013

FUNHL Week 1 Lineups



















Once more into the breach! Please place your lineups into the comments section!

1/14/2013

Edge 2013

The Edge 2013

By special request I've moved up the review of the Edge ahead of the Highlanders who would normally be next.

L: Ovechkin-Wsh FP, Ericksson-Dal, Moulson-NYI, Prust-Mtl RFA

Rating: 4.5

Ovechkin is due for a bounce back season, one where he scores at a 50 goal+ pace, and drives the Capital's offense. Ericksson is a legit (albeit low-grade) #1 FUNHL LW in his own right. He'll have some nice new toys to play with on the Big D powerplay in Roy and Jagr, and if anything his offensive pace might increase over last year. Moulson is a late-blooming sniper but there is no denying that for two years running he sniped 30+ as John Tavares wing man - expect similar results this year. Prust is a dynamic 4th line energy guy who seems to love droppign the gloves and banging with guys who outweigh him by 30lbs. Something would have to be seriously wrong for him to be dressing though.

C: Thornton-SJ FP, Bergeron-Bos, Duchene-Col RFA, Nugent-Hopkins-Edm RFA, Huberdeau-Fla P2, J.Larsson-Min P1

Rating: 4.5

Thornton is still an elite centerman, but he's no longer the same threat to finish in the top 3 in scoring he once was. Bergeron is likely to be bumped down the depth chart of the Edge, maybe even to the bench, by either Duchene or The Nuge, but he represents average or slightly better production for a 2nd line pivot in the FUNHL. Duchene and The Nuge are both quality young centers on the upswing. Duchene has a slight edge in physical play and sniping ability, but the Nuge has massive upside, and sick playmaking ability. Both have had recent injury issues but it would surprise nobody if they both passed Bergeron for active roles. Huberdeau is another high-quality pivot, albeit he floundered somewhat at the WJC when it was expected he would dominate. Florida has a spot waiting for him on their roster, but they may be tempted to continue the slow-boat development track they have started using for other prospects (Markstrom being one). Larsson was a bit of a sleeper, but has turned some heads with his play in the Swedish leagues. He has nice size and good playmaking ability, but is likely at least a year or more away from making the Wild as an active roster player, and even longer from being a top 6 forward.

R: Parenteau-Col, Simmonds-Pha RFA, Alfredsson-Ott RFA, Ryder-Dal RFA, Coyle-Min P1, Galiev-TBay P1, Palmieri-Ana P1

Rating: 2

Parenteau was the other wing-man for Tavares to suddenly show unexpected offense and he cashed in for a nice contract with the Av's. I don't see the uptick in his stats translating to his new team as Parenteau will be fighting for ice-time with wingers of a higher caliber than he had in NYI, and as such I think he is woefully miscast as a top line FUNHL option. Simmonds is a prototype bang-crash winger with some finish, but his ceiling is 40pts or so plus his minutes - making him a reliable, if underwhelming goon. Alfie is now 40+ and playing out the string for Ottawa. Health is his biggest holdback as he gets injured with clock like frequency these days, and doesn't draw much time with playmaker Spezza except on the PP. Something of a bargain as a 3rd line option, he more realistically is the Edge best starboard winger. Ryder is a rollercoaster of a winger, one year up and scoring 30, the next year down and scoring 15. He thrives on the PP with a playmaking center and a winger with size to keep the opposition from running him over. Given the injury risk of Alfie it seems likely that Ryder could draw some active lineup time at some point. Coyle is a future beast of a power forward having the size and sniping ability that define the position. Another year of seasoning to get his bearings and he'll be Hell on wheels coming off the half-wall. Galiev is the opposite of Coyle, as while he has decent size, he plays a more perimeter/finesse game. He has the skill winger tools (speed, shot, stickhandling) and was a dominant offensive producer in the Q, but Yzerman likes his prospects to take the Detroit route (the long, long way) to the NHL, so don't expect him soon. Palmieri lies somewhere in between Coyle and Galiev, he's a gritty, hard nosed guy with some scoring abilities, but isn't as much a physical terror as Coyle, or as obviously skilled as Galiev. I see his eventual upside as an NHL 3rd liner with 2nd unit PP time, but that may be selling him short. Barring a major leap from Coyle or Galiev, or Alfie finding the fountain of youth, RW is a serious weakness.

D: Byfuglien-Wpg, J.Johnson-Clb, Streit-NYI, Hedman-TBay RFA, McQuaid-Bos RFA, Souray-Ana RFA, Robidas-Dal RFA, Kulikov-Fla RFA, Ellis-Nsh P3, Beaulieu-Mtl P1, Dumba-Min P1

Rating: 3.5

Big Buff gives the team a dominant offensive and TG option to head the D, he's close to FP status given his stats the last two years. Johnson is still an enigma, he's big, strong, can run a powerplay, and can skate like a dream, but he's still and adventure in his own end, and Columbus isn't exactly scoring like Pittsburgh in the 80's. Streit should have decent production for the Islander as he continues to be their best all-round D-man, with the only risk being one his not infrequent trips to the hospital. Hedman is steadily developing into an unstoppable force as he packs muscle onto his massive frame and earns more powerplay time. As it is, he's already the Bolts best defensive defenseman, and his offense has progressed every year he's been in the league - at some point he's going to make the leap. McQuaid is a longshot +/- threat, but otherwise is a replacement level D-man. Souray could rebound for nice numbers in Anaheim, or he could get hurt yet again and return to being one of the highest paid non-performers in the league. Robidas is a solid #6 for a FUNHL team - waiver draft fodder. Kulikov is clearly slated to jump into the top 5 as his offensive ability has steadily progressed, and he frequently shows signs of being a Karlsson-like puck rusher/passer. A breakthrough offensively from him would not be surprising. Ellis is a fantastic offensive talent that Nashville has been grooming slowly. He might just be a powerplay specialist when all is said and done, but his upside is much higher if it can be reached (Rafalski). Beaulieu is Montreal's hope for a puckrushing rearguard to compliment Subban, Likely a year or more away from making the team, he has #2 defenseman upside. Dumba is a Phaneuf clone, big shooter, hard hitter, a bit reckless in his own zone. A tad undersized for the hits he likes to throw, he's something of a project for the Wild.

G: Fleury-Pit, Hiller-Ana RFA, Markstrom-Fla P4

Rating: 3.5

Fleury is a legit top 5 goaltender, albeit one with a tendency to meltdown in the playoffs, and with a team ahead of him that likes to play run-n-gun. Hiller could be a steal if he recovers from injury to take-over the Anaheim net permanently. Markstrom is Florida's goalie of the future, and this year may see him split time more less evenly in the starting role.

Total:  18



















Ramapithecines 2013



























The Ramapithecines

L: Vanek-Buf, Ray.Whitney-Dal, Clowe-SJ, Steen-StL RFA, Gerbe-Buf P1, Wilson-Nsh P1

Rating: 3.5

Vanek is still a top tier sniper, but average for a FUNHL #1. Whitney is older than dirt, but had a fantastic season last year, and moves to a Dallas team that has many more weapons than Phx did. Clowe is a dynamite 3rd iner because of his toughness, and is a reliable offensive producer even when shifted away from the goon role. Steen is a nice stop gap should one of the higher end guys get hurt, but isn't likely to threaten anyone's spot or create confusion about who should be dressing. Gerbe is at the age now where he should be a reliable contributer to the Buffalo offense, but unless he takes a significant step forward he'll be most useful as an injury replacement for Vanek should the big Austrian get hurt. Wilson is only an average skater, but has above average shooting abilities. If Nashville can figure out how to maximize his talents, he could turn into a top 6 forward.

C: Tavares-NYI FP, J.Staal-Car, Ennis-Buf RFA, Berglund-StL RFA, Grabovski-Tor P3, Burmistrov-Wpg P2, Bjugstad-Fla P1

Rating: 2.5

Tavares has blossomed into the all-round gunner that his junior stats predicted him to be, even flashing some unexpected speed and passing ability that wasn't there previously. Staal has a chance to be a dominant #2 pivot in Carolina, with more powerplay time than he recieved in Pittsburgh where he was blocked by Malkin and Crosby. Ennis is a waterbug scoring forward who must find a way to win puck battles despite his thin and underweight frame. Berglund is the opposite of Ennis possessing a thick and muscular frame but lacking the high-end offensive abilities of Ennis. Berglund could well be transitioned into a 3rd line shutdown pivot role as a result. Grabovski is a 'Mr.Everything' type of center, gritty, fast, and with a decent amount of skill - but he is miscast as a 1st line forward. Burmistrov flashes high-end talent, but not consistently enough to make a top line. Bjugstand is a beast of a prospect standing 6'5"  and with excellent speed and above average shot. Florida is taking their time with a large number of decent prospects though, so his development could be slow-tracked.

R: Neal-Pit RFA, Semin-Car, Ju.Williams-LA, Dorsett-Clb RFA, Stewart-R StL P1

Rating: 4

Neal is the coke to Malkin's rum, an ideal compliment. Since landing in Pitt, he's transformed into a full-blooded power forward with eilte goal scoring abilities, and he has one of the world's best players feeding him soft passes for one-timers. Semin is the ultimate 'boom-bust' proposition. He could lead the team in goals and scoring, or he could be so indifferent that he is threatened by Dorsett for a spot in the lineup. Williams is among the most injury prone players in the league having collected a Martin Straka like array of dings and nicks over the years. If healthy he's an ideal 3rd liner who scores like a 2nd liner. Doresett is a slow skating thug, one of the few heavyweights not yet purged from the league. Stewart has slid downhill rapidly since emerging as a legit powerforward two years ago. As a prospect he's perfect as you can wait for the lights to go on again before risking him in the lineup. With a wide-body powerful frame, and excellent skating and hands for a man his size, he should find his way to 30 goals again - at some point.

D: Chara-Bos FP, Edler-Vcr, Wisniewski-Clb, Timonen-Pha RFA, Boychuk-Bos RFA, Mitchell-LA RFA, Jackman-StL RFA, Del Zotto-NYR RFA, Elliot-Col


Rating: 3.5

Chara is such a statistical monster he almost single handedly elevates the D above average. Edler is an excellent #2 as his offensive abilities dove-tail nicely with the deep strong team he is part of. Wisniewski could be an excellent #3, but he needs to prove his contract year scoring wasn't a fluke, and that he can reproduce it in Columbus. Timonen is halfway out the door to a Euro scout position. He's battled several tough injuries the last few years, has seen his skillset erode markedly, and lost his partner in crime Chris Pronger permanently. He's also 38 years old, and I predict this is the last we see of him as a top 4 defender. Boychuk has a chance at putting up decent +/- if the Bruins dominate again, but otherwise will be hard pressed to be anything but a depth defender. Mitchell and Jackman are defense first guys who stand a good chance of being waiver draft fodder. Del Zotto had a breakout offensively with the Rangers, and he could easily be moved all the way up to #4 on the depth chart. Elliot stalled somewhat in his development last year, but has the talent to possibly make the Av's this year, and the Knuckledraggers next.

G: Luongo-Vcr RFA, Elliot-StL RFA, Brodeur-NJ P1

Rating: 3.5

Seems strange to give the above collection of netminders only a slightly above average rating, but the fact is that each comes with serious question marks. Luongo is a legit top 5 guy in Vancouver, but if he stays there he will split time with Schneider, and if he is moved he won't have Vcr's excellent D in front of him (and if he goes to Toronto or Florida as rumoured the D will be either mediocre or terrible). Elliot had fantastic numbers for St Louis, but he is platooned with Halak and until something is resolved there they will split games roughly evenly. Brodeur is a 1st ballot hall-of-famer, but he's now 40+ and the once vaunted NJ defense is a hollow shell of what it used to be.

Total: 17